Karen Khachanov vs Shintaro Mochizuki Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How does second serve performance impact this match? Khachanov wins 45.88% of points on their second serve, compared to Mochizuki's 42.41%, indicating a slight edge for Khachanov.
• When it comes to returning second serves, Mochizuki has a minor advantage, winning 47.6% of points versus Khachanov's 46.9%.
• In returning first serves, Mochizuki again leads by claiming 28.54% of points, whereas Khachanov returns 24.18%.
• Under pressure, Khachanov saves 56.95% of breakpoints compared to 49.46% for Mochizuki, giving Khachanov an upper hand in crucial moments.
• Overall match win percentage over the last year favors Khachanov with 59.02% compared to Mochizuki's 56.76%.
• On grass, Khachanov performs slightly better with a 62% win rate, whereas Mochizuki's is 60%.
• Considering event level, Khachanov plays mostly on the Main tour with a 61.29% success rate, while Mochizuki is active on Challengers/ITF, winning 59.26% of matches.
• Khachanov has faced tougher average opponents ranked 74.82 versus Mochizuki’s 254.49 ranking, suggesting Khachanov has battled more experienced competition.
• In deciding sets, Mochizuki is stronger, winning 59% of such sets compared to Khachanov's 46% over the past year.
• Break point conversion shows a minimal difference, with Khachanov converting 34.21% and Mochizuki 34.78%.

Editorial Prediction (July 2, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent second serve performances, Khachanov displays a stronger capacity, winning more points, which plays a significant role in match outcomes.

While Mochizuki shows better stats in returning serves, the edge is slight, and the match's pressure moments might favor Khachanov due to his higher breakpoint save rate.

Khachanov has a higher overall match win rate over the past year, coupled with a history of competing against higher-ranked players. This experience might be invaluable.

Although Mochizuki has marginally better deciding set performances, the differing levels of their usual competition imply Khachanov might have better resilience under varied, tougher match conditions.

Given these observations, Khachanov is predicted as the likely victor in this upcoming tennis match, leveraging his broader experience and consistent performance.